How the War in the Middle East Is Affecting Energy, Trade, and Finance
you are currently viewing::How the War in the Middle East Is Affecting Energy, Trade, and FinanceMarch 30, 2026-Energy prices, supply chains, and financial markets are the main transmission channels, but the regional effects will vary significantly The shock is global, yet asymmetric. Energy importers are more exposed than exporters, poorer countries more than richer ones, and those with meager buffers more than those with ample reserves. Beyond its painful human toll, the war has caused serious disruption to the economies of the most directly affected countries, including damage to their infrastructure and industries that could become long-lasting. Although these countries are resilient, their short-term growth prospects will be negatively affected. Source: imf.org |
March 30, 2026-Major global stock indexes have fallen between 5% and 10% over the past month as war rattles the Middle East.
Energy market disruptions-especially around the Strait of Hormuz-have become a central driver of volatility.
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March 26, 2026-Introduction
The conflict in the Middle East is testing the resilience of the global economy.
The outlook is surrounded by high uncertainty and reflects the interaction of two opposing forces:
On the upside, growth is supported by strong momentum in technology-related investment and production, lower tariff rates than previously assumed, and carry-over from robust outcomes in 2025.
March 24, 2026-During the Great Depression, as he saw ordinary people's purchasing power collapse, Federal Reserve Chairman Marriner Eccles warned that excessive saving by the rich was draining demand and deepening the downturn. "To protect them from the results of their own folly," Eccles told the Senate in 1933 testimony, "we should take from them a sufficient amount of their surplus to enable consumers to consume and business to operate at a profit."
March 19, 2026-World trade is set to slow in 2026 following stronger than expected growth in 2025 on the back of surging trade in AI-enabling products. WTO economists warn that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could further reduce trade growth if energy prices remain elevated, noting that it would also put pressure on food supplies and services trade due to travel and transport disruptions. Prospects could still improve if the conflict ends quickly and the boom in AI spending continues.
March 15, 2026-Global stocks continued to weaken last week, as the ongoing war in Iran kept oil prices high.
Oil prices have surged as the Iran conflict disrupts global supply, adding to inflation risks. At the same time, recent RBA commentary has sharply shifted market expectations- with investors now bracing for a possible rate hike this week.
March 6, 2026--Opportunities in the ETF market arise from increasing adoption of digital platforms, demand for ESG and smart beta products, and expanding cross-border investments. Growth is driven by thematic trends like EVs, sustainable investing, and innovative offerings, enhanced by asset management diversification and trading efficiency.
March 6, 2026-The Iran war has significantly disrupted global energy markets, damaging oil and gas facilities and halting exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime chokepoint.
Brent oil prices surged over 28% to above $92 per barrel due to supply concerns. The U.S. responded by offering naval escorts and easing Russian oil sanctions on India to stabilize markets.
March 6, 2026-Investment firm Wilshire has told clients that production and publication of all indexes not already sold or returned to the asset manager's ownership will be discontinued.
Wilshire Indexes, the dedicated index operations arm set up by US asset manager Wilshire to run its growing index portfolio, as well as index operations of its partner parent groups, has closed.
March 5, 2026--Global debt markets are navigating a difficult terrain. Geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and an uncertain macroeconomic environment are adding pressure to already stretched markets. But debt markets have been resilient so far. This stability, however, masks deeper structural developments.