Global Economy Shakes Off Tariff Shock Amid Tech-Driven Boom
you are currently viewing::Global Economy Shakes Off Tariff Shock Amid Tech-Driven BoomJanuary 19, 2026-But risks are rising, including from the concentration of tech investment and the negative effects of trade disruptions, which may build over time Our latest projectionsindicate that global growth will hold steady at 3.3 percent this year, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage points compared to October estimates, with most of the improvement accounted for by the United States and China. Remarkably, current projections are broadly unchanged from a year earlier, as the global economy shakes off the immediate impact of the tariff shock. This surprising strength reflects a confluence of factors, including easing trade tensions, higher-than-expected fiscal stimulus, accommodative financial conditions, the agility of the private sector in mitigating trade disruptions and improved policy frameworks especially in emerging market economies. Source: imf.org |
April 14, 2026-The global economy faces renewed tests as the war in the Middle East threatens to disrupt growth and disinflation.
After withstanding higher trade barriers and elevated uncertainty last year, global activity now faces a major test from the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2026 and 3.2 percent in 2027.