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IMF Staff Country Report-Philippines: Selected Issues
February 6, 2020--EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL TRADE TENSIONS1
Unlike many Asian countries, the Philippines' exports of goods have remained stable through the
ongoing period of global trade tensions. Its low participation in global trade as well as in global value
chains relative-to-peers seems to explain why the Philippines has not yet been negatively impacted by
the trade tensions.
On the other hand, despite its close trade ties with the United States, the Philippines
has not benefitted much from trade diversion originated from the U.S.-China bilateral tariffs, unlike
Vietnam and Mexico.
A. Introduction
1. The stable evolution of the Philippines' exports of goods in a context of global trade
tensions is puzzling. On the one side, unlike most Asian economies, the Philippines has not
experienced a fall in its total exports. On the other hand, the Philippines has not benefited much
from trade diversion created after the U.S.-China trade tensions, even though the U.S. and China
are major trading partners.
view the IMF Staff Country Report-Philippines: Selected Issues
Source: IMF
India navigates a new global order
February 3, 2020--With Indian economic growth slowing, commentary is focused on Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's 2020-21 Union Budget.
Less public attention is being paid to India's external challenges. The world economy matters to India today and India has itself become a global player.
The rules-based multilateral economic order which supported global integration for a generation is under widespread challenge. As multilateral institutions weaken and bilateral negotiations assume centre stage, India is compelled to articulate an economic sovereignty that's politically grounded domestically while remaining sufficiently flexible to grasp opportunities in the years ahead.
Deep shifts in global order have been building, but a key marker is the 2008 financial crisis. Its origins in the most advanced financial markets provoked continued widespread questioning of the liberal consensus in vogue.
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Source: bruegel.org
Chinese stocks plunge in worst end to Lunar Year on record
January 24, 2020--Panic coursed through the world's second-largest equity market as investors sold stocks on concern a deadly virus will worsen over China's week-long trading break.
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Source: FIN24
SGX invests 186m euros for 93% stake in index firm Scientific Beta
January 23, 2020--SINGAPORE Exchange (SGX) is coughing up 186 million euros (S$280 million) in cash for a 93 per cent stake in Scientific Beta Pte Ltd, a smart beta index firm.
The strategic investment will strengthen the Singapore bourse operator's research-based index design capabilities as well as broaden its range of index products and clientele.
As of end Sept 2019, an estimated US$55 billion in assets owned by global institutions tracked Scientific Beta's indices. This has risen more than 10 times in four years, on the back of significant growth in factor investing.
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Source: businesstimes.com.sg
Singapore's new digital banks face uphill struggle
January 21, 2020--Virtual lenders will struggle to capture market share from wealthy city-state's incumbents.
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Source: FT.com
World Bank-Thailand Economic Monitor January 2020: Productivity for Prosperity
January 17, 2020--Key Findings
Thailand's growth began to slow in 2019, with growth falling to 2.5 percent due to external and domestic factors
Global growth is projected to weaken to 2.4 percent in 2019 and to recover slightly to 2.5 percent in 2020, but risks are tilted to the downside on global growth, particularly for international trade.
Thailand's economy is projected to pick up moderately to 2.7 percent in 2020, underpinned by an expected slight improvement in external demand and recovery in private consumption as well as a stronger focus on public investment implementation.
Risks to Thailand's economic outlook stem from both external and domestic sources. The external risks stem from a possible continuation of the US-China trade tension and a broadening of protectionist tendencies, and domestic short-term risks mainly on the cohesiveness of the coalition government, which could impact investor confidence.
view the World Bank-Thailand Economic Monitor January 2020: Productivity for Prosperity
Source: World Bank
China's economic growth hits 30-year low
January 17, 2020-China's economy grew last year at the slowest pace in almost three decades.
Official figures show that the world's second largest economy expanded by 6.1% in 2019 from the year before-the worst figure in 29 years.
The country has faced weak domestic demand and the impact of the bitter trade war with the US.
The government has been rolling out measures over the past two years in an attempt to boost growth.
It comes after almost two years of trade tensions with the US-although hopes of a better relationship with America have seen improvements in manufacturing and business confidence data.
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Source: bbc.com
Chinese companies face tougher ESG disclosures
January 13, 2020--Chinese companies face tougher ESG disclosures. Some issuers offshore and on the mainland say new requirements are a waste of time.
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Source: FT.com
China's currency extends 2020 rally on easing trade angst
January 13, 2020--Renminbi erases the heavy losses it sustained in August that unnerved global investors
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Source: FT.com
China's Yuan at Strongest Since July Amid Trade Deal Optimism
January 12, 2020--China's yuan strengthened to a five-month high, punching past 6.9 per dollar ahead of this week's planned trade-deal signing with the U.S.
The currency rose as much as 0.32% to 6.8968 versus the greenback in the onshore market on Monday, the strongest since July 31.
The offshore rate gained 0.27% to 6.8963.
China's economy has shown signs of recovery in recent months as global demand steadies and trade tensions ease, boosting investor sentiment.
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Source: bnnbloomberg.ca
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