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IMF Country Report-Mexico: Selected Issues Paper
November 12, 2014--THE IMPACT OF MEXICO'S ENERGY REFORM ON HYDROCARBONS PRODUCTION1
The recently adopted energy reform could revolutionize Mexico's hydrocarbons
sector. The reform aims to increase oil and gas production by eliminating the state oil company's
(PEMEX) monopoly on exploration and production of hydrocarbons, while retaining the prime
directive that these resources are the property of the Mexican nation.
Additionally, competition and new regulatory structures are being implemented in midstream and downstream activities to
enhance the generation and distribution of natural gas and electricity to increase the efficiency of
service and reduce costs. Reducing electricity costs, in particular, could have a significant impact on
raising manufacturing output as discussed in a companion selected issues paper (SIP).2
view the IMF Country Report-Mexico: Selected Issues Paper
Source: IMF
BM&FBOVESPA and S&P Dow Jones Indices Reach Landmark Index Agreement BVMF and S&P DJI Agree to Co-brand and Launch New Equity Indices for Brazilian Marketplace
November 12, 2014--BM&FBOVESPA (BVMF), the largest equity and futures exchange in Latin America, and S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI), one of the world's leading providers of financial market indices, announced today the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to create and launch new, co-branded equity indices for the Brazilian marketplace.
Each of these new indices will be calculated, published, and marketed globally by S&P DJI.
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Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices
Investors pour money into surging currency-hedged ETFs Add to ...
November 11, 2014--U.S. investors who believe the dollar's 2014 surge will continue are pouring money into exchange-traded funds that invest in foreign markets but hedge the currency part of the bet.
BlackRock Inc, WisdomTree Investments Inc and Deutsche Bank AG are among the companies starting new currency-hedged funds this year to take advantage of a flow of some $3.9-billion into currency-hedged ETFs so far this year.
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Source: The Globe and Mail
First China onshore bond ETF launches in the United States
November 11, 2014--U.S. investors can now gain direct access to China's onshore bond market through a new exchange-traded fund that invests in a broad swath of the country's swelling fixed-income market, which has largely been closed off to foreigners.
Van Eck Global said on Tuesday that it is launching its Market Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF on the NYSE Arca exchange. The fund invests in a broad basket of Chinese bonds, which are denominated in the local currency and issued in mainland China.
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Source: Reuters
CBO Monthly Budget Review: Summary for Fiscal Year 2014
November 10, 2014--In fiscal year 2014, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled $483 billion- $197 billion less than the shortfall in 2013. Fiscal year 2014 was the fifth consecutive year in which the deficit declined as a share of the nation's gross domestic product (GDP): The deficit peaked at 9.8 percent of GDP in 2009; it fell to 4.1 percent in 2013 and to 2.8 percent in 2014.
In 2014, the government's revenues increased (in nominal terms) for the fifth consecutive year, reaching $3.0 trillion, which was $247 billion, or almost 9 percent, more than revenues in 2013. In dollar terms, revenues have increased by 44 percent since 2009. As a percentage of GDP, revenues rose from 16.7 percent in 2013 to 17.5 percent in 2014, exceeding the average over the past 40 years (17.3 percent) for the first time since 2007 (see the figure).
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Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
U.S. SEC denies BATS request to list 'non-transparent' ETFs
November 10, 2014--U.S. regulators rejected a proposal from BATS Global Markets that would allow it to list and trade actively managed exchange-traded funds that do not have to disclose their holdings on a daily basis.
The action, posted late Friday, was largely expected after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's announcement last month that it intended to deny a proposal from BlackRock Inc to create such ETFs, which are linked to the BATS exchange filing.
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Source: Reuters
CFTC.gov Financial Data for Futures Commission Merchants Update
November 10, 2014--The CFTC.gov Financial Data for Futures Commission Merchants has recently been updated and is now available.
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Source: CFTC.gov
Morgan Stanley-US ETF Weekly Update
November 10, 2014--US ETF Weekly Update
Weekly Flows: $14.9 Billion Net Inflows
High-conviction ETF Recommendations Slide
ETFs Have Generated Net Inflows 34 of 45 Weeks YTD
ETF Assets Stand at $1.9 Trillion, Up 14% YTD
Six ETF Launches Last Week
SEC Issues Notice of Its Intent to Grant Eaton Vance Permission
to Offer Exchange-Traded Managed Funds
VelocityShares to Close Three ETFs
US-Listed ETFs: Estimated Flows by Market Segment
ETFs posted net inflows of $14.9 bln last week; fifth consecutive week of net inflows
Over the last five weeks, ETFs have generated net inflows of $42.1 bln
Last week’s net inflows were led by US Large-Cap ETFs at $10.7 bln; conversely, Leveraged/Inverse ETFs posted net outflows of $1.5 bln, the most of any category we measured
Thirteen of the 15 categories we measured posted net inflows last week; ETFs have generated net inflows 34 of the 45 weeks YTD totaling $154.3 bln, slightly ahead of last year’s pace
ETF assets stand at $1.9 tln, up 14% YTD
13-week flows remain positive among most asset classes; combined $86.9 bln in net inflows
US Large-Cap ETFs generated net inflows of $43.0 bln over the last 13 weeks, accounting for 49% of ETF net inflows, the most of any category
Commodity ETFs continue to struggle and over the last 13 weeks have posted net outflows of $2.4 bln; notably, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is the primary driver of Commodity ETF flows; over the last 13 weeks, GLD has exhibited net outflows of $2.7 bln
US-Listed ETFs: Estimated Largest Flows by Individual ETF
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) posted net inflows of $7.1 bln last week, the most of any ETF
SPY has generated net inflows 10 of the last 13 weeks totaling $27.1 bln
The WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) and iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) had a combined $1.2 bln in net inflows last week as the Bank of Japan and the Japanese Government Pension Investment Fund spurred a rally in Japanese equities
Interestingly, the iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV) generated net inflows of $1.6 bln last week whereas the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) had net outflows of $1.3 bln; both products target the front end of the curve, but SHV's effective duration is 0.5 years whereas SHY's is 1.9 years
Despite posting net inflows of $1.9 bln last week, the PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) has exhibited net outflows of $4.2 bln over the last 13 weeks
US-Listed ETFs: ETF Dollar Volume
ETF monthly $ volume as a % of listed trading volume jumped in October to 30% amid a spike in volatility and trading volumes; October's reading compares to September's 25%; over the last 5 years, ETF monthly $ volume as a % of listed trading volume averaged 28%
Over the last five years, ETF monthly $ volume as a % of listed trading volume peaked in August 2011 at 36%
ETF $ volume declined by $48 bln last week compared to the prior week, and is 4% below its 13-week average
US Sector & Industry ETFs accounted for 16% of ETF $ volume last week compared to their 13-week average of 14% and market capitalization share of 12%
US-Listed ETFs: Short Interest Data Unchanged: Based on data as of 10/15/14
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) had the largest increase in USD short interest at $6.8 bln
SPY's shares short at 292 mln are at their highest level since 5/31/12
Notably, the SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) and the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) exhibited meaningful declines in short interest last period; shares short in JNK are at their second lowest level of 2014 and HYG's shares short are at their lowest level of the year
694 ETFs exhibited short interest increases while 646 experienced short interest declines over the last period
Aggregate ETF USD short interest increased by $12.2 bln over the period ended 10/15/14
The average shares short/shares outstanding for ETFs is currently 3.9%, down from 4.2% last period
For the third consecutive period, the SPDR Retail ETF (XRT) was the most heavily shorted ETF as a % of shares outstanding at 267%
Seven of the 10 most heavily shorted ETFs as a % of shares outstanding are sector/industry based (XRT, SMH, XOP, IYR, XBI, OIH, DRV)
Based on multiple borrowings and the ability to continuously create new shares, shares short as a % of shares outstanding can exceed 100% (only seven ETFs exhibited shares short as a % of shares outstanding greater than 100%)
US-Listed ETFs: Most Successful Recent Launches by Assets
$8.0 bln in total market cap of ETFs less than 1-year old
Active ETFs account for 45% of recently launched ETF market share and 53% of net inflows over the last 13 weeks, the most of any category
International equity ETFs have experienced 63 launches over the last year, accounting for 34% of all recently launched ETFs
172 new ETF listings and 57 closures YTD (additional three announced)
The top 10 most successful launches make up 50% of the market cap of ETFs launched over the past year
Five ETF sponsors and three asset classes (equity, fixed income, and currency) were represented in top 10 most successful launches
The First Trust Enhanced Short Maturity ETF (FTSM) had another big week of net inflows last week at $531 mln; FTSM is a short duration actively managed fixed income portfolio that focuses on investment grade securities
Notably, the iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Japan ETF (HEWJ) also had a big week, generating net inflows of $174 mln, or 79% of HEWJ's current market cap.
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Source: Morgan Stanley
Fewer active managers beat market than at any time in decade
November 9, 2014--Fewer fund managers are beating the market this year than at any time in over a decade, piling further misery on a profession that faces increasing investor scepticism.
Fewer than one in five active managers outperformed the stock market in the year to the end of October, according to figures compiled by Bank of America.
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Source: FT.com
Oct. 15 bond swing draws attention from regulators, traders
November 9, 2014--The day's trading was just hitting its stride in New York on the morning of Oct. 15 when bond investors, traders and strategists were stunned by an unusual move in the $12 trillion U.S. Treasury market playing out on their computer screens.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note took a sharp dive below 2% within minutes, and few could understand exactly why. Some dealers immediately pulled the plug on automated trading systems that provided price quotes to customers.
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Source: Wall Street Journal