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IMF-The African Century
September 1, 2023--A demographic transformation in Africa has the potential to alter the world order
Last November, the global population reached a significant milestone of 8 billion. More recently, in April, India overtook China as the world's most populous country.
It is Africa's booming population, however, that commands attention, with its demographic transformation set to reshape the continent and the world beyond.
Africa's population, estimated to be around 140 million in the year 1900, accounted for 9 percent of the world's population at that time; however, its share has since doubled. Fueled by a combination of falling mortality and some of the highest birth rates in the world, Africa's total population has increased tenfold and now stands at over 1.4 billion.
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Source: imf.org
Africa's Fragile States Are Greatest Climate Change Casualties
August 30, 2023--International partners must support the continent's most vulnerable countries to adapt to extreme weather-or spillovers could become more disruptive
Climate change poses grave threats to countries across Africa-but especially fragile and conflict-affected states.
As the continent's leaders converge on Kenya for next week's African Climate Action Summit, it is vital that they come up with solutions to support these vulnerable countries.
From the Central African Republic to Somalia and Sudan, fragile states suffer more from floods, droughts, storms and other climate-related shocks than other countries, when they have contributed the least to climate change. Each year, three times more people are affected by natural disasters in fragile states than in other countries. Disasters in fragile states displace more than twice the share of the population in other countries.
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Source: imf.org
2023 Southern Africa Economic Outlook: Southern Africa's economic prospects subdued, yet abounds with investment opportunity in climate change initiatives
July 25, 2023--The Southern Africa region has seen a slowdown in economic growth over the past year as its largest economy, South Africa, confronts multiple challenges. Civil unrest, electricity crisis and natural disasters have contributed to dampen prospects for the region, which is lagging behind the others in Africa, according to the African Development Bank's new economic report.
The 2023 Southern Africa Economic Outlook, launched on Monday 24 July, analyses the recent economic trends and developments in Southern Africa. In line with this year's theme for the annual outlook: mobilizing private sector financing for climate and green growth in Africa, the report also explores the potential role of the private sector in financing the region's climate action and green growth ambitions.
In 2022, the Southern Africa region's GDP growth barely reached 2.7 percent, a level much lower than global and African averages of 3.4% and 3.8 %.
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Source: afdb.org
ASEA and ECA Sign Agreement to Strengthen Development and Integration of Africa's Financial Markes
July 17, 2023--The African Securities Exchanges Association (ASEA) and the Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) have signed a landmark Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the aim of strengthening collaboration and driving the development and integration of Africa's financial markets for sustainable growth.
Signed this week, Monday, the MOU represents a significant milestone in the efforts to develop Africa's capital markets, enhance market capacity, boost investor confidence, facilitate peer-learning, and promote regional integration. The partnership will focus on key areas of cooperation, including conducting studies and research on financial market development and integration, providing training and capacity-building at national, sub-regional, and continental levels, and engaging in policy dialogues and advocacy for African countries, as well as policy dialogues and advocacy for African countries.
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Source: uneca.org
South Africa's Economy Loses Momentum Amid Record Power Cuts
June 15, 2023--Reforms are urgently needed to resolve the energy crisis and tackle structural unemployment
Newly released data shows the South African economy grew by 0.4 percent between January and March this year. Crippling power cuts, volatile commodity prices and a challenging external environment have contributed to the country's weak growth performance.
By year-end, we project real GDP growth to fall sharply from last year. Though we expect growth to pick up again in 2024, the pace is too slow to reduce unemployment, which at 32.9 percent remains close to an all-time high.
The country has faced rolling blackouts after years of mismanagement of the state-owned utility, Eskom, prompting the authorities to ease the registration process and licensing requirements for energy production to encourage private sector investment. The government also announced a three-year debt relief arrangement to help Eskom establish its commercial viability and mitigate the energy crisis.
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Source: imf.org
African Development Bank Group Annual Report 2022: Bank Group demonstrates strong performance and commitment to African countries
June 14, 2023--US$8.2 billion in approvals to African member countries
The African Development Bank Group has released its 2022 Annual Report. The report shows solid performance over the year, recording a significant increase in lending to the Bank Group's regional member countries in the face of a challenging global environment for Africa.
"Amid multiple global shocks, the [African Development] Bank once again demonstrated its unwavering commitment to African countries through targeted actions tailored to strengthening resilience across the continent," African Development Bank President Akinwumi Adesina said in the foreword to the report.
Africa saw its real gross domestic product growth slow to 3.8 percent in 2022, down from 4.8 percent in 2021, as it reacted to inflation, rising fuel prices and rising geopolitical tensions. The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the growing impact of climate change, and adverse weather also played a role in slowing down GDP growth.
view the African Development Bank Group Annual Report 2022
Source: afdb.org
AFDB-African Economic Outlook 2021-The theme of the 2023 African Economic Outlook is Mobilizing Private Sector Financing for Climate and Green Growth in Africa
June 7, 2023--African economies remain resilient amid multiple shocks
The African Economic Outlook 2023 is being published as African countries are dealing with multiple shocks, including the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, disruptions to global supply chains due to Russia's prolonged invasion of Ukraine and a tightening of global financing conditions.
These shocks have reduced the continent's real GDP growth from 4.8 percent in 2021 to 3.8 percent in 2022. However, African economies remain resilient, with average growth projected to stabilize at 4.1 percent in 2023-24.
The growth outlook is subject to significant downside risks, including i) subdued global growth weighing on Africa's exports, persistence of tight global financial conditions exacerbating debt servicing costs; ii) significant losses and damages due to frequent extreme weather events exacerbating fiscal pressures; iii) the prolongation of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which is increasing global uncertainty; and iv) persistent disruptions to global supply chains. Other factors include elevated geopolitical risks due to upcoming national elections in some countries.
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Source: African Development Bank
South Africa: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for South Africa
June 6, 2023--Summary:
South Africa's strong economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic is petering out. Growth moderated from 4.9 percent in 2021 to 2.0 percent in 2022 as the country was buffeted by Russia's war in Ukraine, global monetary policy tightening, severe floods, and an unprecedented domestic energy crisis.
Inflation rose above the target band though inflation expectations remained anchored. The current account moved back into a deficit after a temporary commodity-price driven surplus.
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Source: imf.org
African Currencies Are Under Pressure Amid Higher-for-Longer US Interest Rates
May 15, 2023--Weaker currencies make the fight to curb inflation harder given the region's dependence on imports
Most sub-Saharan African currencies have weakened against the US dollar, fanning inflationary pressures across the continent as import prices surge. This, together with a growth slowdown, leaves policymakers with difficult choices as they balance keeping inflation in check with a still-fragile recovery.
As the Chart of the Week shows, the average depreciation for the region since January 2022 is about 8 percent. The extent varies by country, however. Ghana’s cedi and Sierra Leone’s leone depreciated by more than 45 percent.
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Source: imf.org
IMF-African Currencies Are Under Pressure Amid Higher-for-Longer US Interest Rates
May 15, 2023--Weaker currencies make the fight to curb inflation harder given the region's dependence on imports
Most sub-Saharan African currencies have weakened against the US dollar, fanning inflationary pressures across the continent as import prices surge.
This, together with a growth slowdown, leaves policymakers with difficult choices as they balance keeping inflation in check with a still-fragile recovery.
As the Chart of the Week shows, the average depreciation for the region since January 2022 is about 8 percent. The extent varies by country, however. Ghana's cedi and Sierra Leone's leone depreciated by more than 45 percent.
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Source: imf.org
