Global ETF News Older than One Year
The Credit Outlook Navigating a Risk Laden Recovery
January 20, 2011--Highlights
A global economic recovery is occurring but it remains fragile with possible pitfalls. In this environment, Fitch Ratings expects macro factors to continue to dominate credit markets. Accommodative policy support and emerging market dynamism are
important drivers of growth.
Although macro risks remain, Fitch’s rating outlooks are continuing to stabilise across most sectors. This reflects both improved credit profiles and downgrade action, followed by stabilisation at such lower levels.
In the US, Fitch has recently upgraded GDP forecasts. However, the economy is vulnerable to shocks, with weak labour and housing markets. There has been determined positive action to boost growth, notably through the extension of tax relief and a second round of quantitative easing (QE2), to which the financial markets have responded enthusiastically. However, there is a risk that QE2 could undermine confidence in the US dollar and raise inflation expectations. It also poses challenges for the rest of the world, including fast?growing developing and emerging economies. Together with exceptionally low interest rates, quantitative easing may result in yield?seeking capital and financial flows undermining economicand financial stability in stronger?growing emerging markets (EMs).
In the euro area, support measures have been substantial, although at times hampered by inconsistent communication from the region’s policymakers. Confidence in the sustainability of public finances and bank liquidity and asset quality will remain fragile and sovereign credit profiles will continue to be under pressure.
Source: Fitch Ratings
IEA Oil Market Report
January 19, 2011--Highlights
Marker crudes approached $100/bbl in early January, prompting concerns over the impact of high prices on the global economic recovery. December futures prices rose for the fourth month running, trading in a range of $88-$92/bbl. Robust economic growth in Asia,
especially China, coupled with stronger thanexpected oil demand in
the OECD has pushed crude above the $70-$80/bbl range seen for
much of 2010.
Global oil product demand for 2010 and 2011 is revised up by an average of 320 kb/d on higher?than?expected submissions, reflecting buoyant global economic growth and cold northern hemisphere weather. Global oil demand, assessed at 87.7 mb/d in 2010 (+2.7 mb/d year?on?year), rises by 1.4 mb/d to 89.1 mb/d in 2011.
Global oil supply fell by 0.3 mb/d to 88.1 mb/d in December, as non? OPEC output was reduced, on short?lived outages. An Alaskan pipeline leak and a fire at a Canadian oil sands upgrader also cut January output. Overall, 2010 and 2011 non?OPEC estimates are unchanged at 52.8 mb/d and 53.4 mb/d, respectively. OPEC NGLs contribute 5.3 mb/d in 2010 and 5.8 mb/d in 2011.
OPEC supply gained 250 kb/d to reach 29.58 mb/d in December, continuing a rising trend evident since the spring. In light of stronger demand estimates for 2H10, output in 3Q10 and 4Q10 has been lagging the underlying ‘call’, which is revised up to 29.9 mb/d for 2011. OPEC effective spare capacity has nudged below 5 mb/d for the first time in two years.
Source: IEA ( International Energy Agency)
‘Countries must act now to achieve a secure and cleaner energy future’ – IEA’s Executive Director
January 19, 2011--Nobuo Tanaka speaks on opening day of World Future Energy Summit
The International Energy Agency’s Executive Director, Mr Nobuo Tanaka, has said that renewable sources of energy “will need to play a central role” in reducing carbon emissions and diversifying energy supplies.
Although encouraged by the 70 countries which have policies in place to foster both the deployment and development of renewable sources of energy, such as wind, solar and biomass, he stressed the urgent need for others to follow.
“We cannot wait for a global climate deal,” said Mr Tanaka, speaking on the opening day of the World Future Energy Summit, taking place in Abu Dhabi. “A lack of ambition in the Copenhagen Accord pledges has increased our estimated cost of reaching the 2ºC goal by USD1 trillion and undoubtedly made it less likely that the goal will actually be achieved.”
Source: IEA ( International Energy Agency)
TABB Group Launches Eight-Part Commentary Series Examining the European Commission’s MiFID II Review
January 19, 2011--TABB Group announced today it is introducing an eight-part series of commentaries based on the public consultation on the review of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) published December 8, 2010 by the European Commission.
According to TABB, the London- and New York-based strategic advisory and research firm, the review attempts to fix some of the gaps in the initial MiFID document and takes on the challenges of key market issues: market fragmentation; pre- and post-trade transparency; market-data aggregation; actionable indications of interest (IOIs); dark pools; high frequency trading; and, in conjunction with the European Markets Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR), OTC derivatives regulation.
The review, says TABB Group founder and CEO Larry Tabb, is one of the most significant regulatory initiatives undertaken by the European Commission. “The Consultation paper on the review, referred to as MiFID II, contains a vast number of proposals packed into its 83 pages. Like it or hate it, whether you’re an investor, broker, exchange or pensioner, implementation of these proposals will have an impact on the way you invest, trade, broke or match buyers with sellers in the European marketplace.”
The ramifications of these proposals, he adds, are so extensive that they will have an impact across asset classes and on market participants within the European Union as well as the global markets. “We believe that other regulators will look to copy, cherry pick or avoid similar rules. As a result, if you’re an investor, bank, broker or exchange, you will need to realign your offerings to either comply – or avoid – huge changes in how the financial markets will operate across Europe.”
Source: TABB Group
UN World Economic Situation and Prospects 2011
January 17, 2011--Highlights
After a year of fragile and uneven recovery, global economic growth started to decelerate on a broad front in mid-2010 and this slower growth is expected to continue into 2011 and 2012. The United Nations baseline forecast for the growth of world gross product (WGP) is 3.1 per cent for 2011 and 3.5 per cent for 2012, which is below the 3.6 per cent estimated for 2010 and the pre-crisis pace of global growth.
Weaknesses in major developed economies continue to drag the global recovery and pose risks for world economic stability in the coming years. The unprecedented scale of the policy measures taken by Governments during the early stage of the crisis has no doubt helped stabilize financial markets and jump-start a recovery. However, overcoming the structural problems that led to the crisis—and those that were created by it—is proving much more challenging and will be a lengthy process. This contrasts with the strong GDP growth in many developing countries and economies in transition, which has contributed more than half of the total expansion of the world economy since the third quarter of 2009.
view report-World Economic Situation and Prospects 2011
Source: UNCTAD
London Stock Exchange Group Signs Strategic Partnership With Mongolian Stock Exchange - Development And Technology Partnership Signed - Management And Market Expertise To Be Deployed As MSE Privatises
Development and technology partnership signed
Management and market expertise to be deployed as MSE privatises
January 18, 2011--London Stock Exchange Group (“LSEG”) and the Mongolian State Property Committee (“SPC”) today announce that they have signed an exclusive Strategic Partnership Agreement to restructure and develop the Mongolian Stock Exchange (“MSE”).
Speaking ahead of an event marking the twentieth anniversary of the MSE today, Xavier Rolet, Chief Executive of LSEG, said:
“We are thrilled to have been chosen to partner with the Mongolian Stock Exchange as it enters a new and exciting period in its development. Mongolia is predicted to become one of the world’s fastest growing economies and we are delighted to be providing our extensive expertise and assistance at this critical time. The London Stock Exchange Group is very much looking forward to working with business, government and the people of Mongolia in the growth and privatisation of its significant capital markets.”
Source: London Stock Exchange Group
‘Graying Revolution’ Reaches Low- and Middle-income Countries
Developing and middle-income countries must care for growing numbers of the elderly but often without enough money and experience.
In less developed regions, life expectancy increased by 26 years from 1950-55 to 2005-10.
Two World Bank reports address the economic impact of aging populations worldwide and offer direction on policy reforms.
January 18, 2011--Since the 1950s, smaller family sizes and longer life expectancies have steadily expanded the ranks of the elderly in many societies—a shift some commentators have dubbed the ‘Graying Revolution.’
Once considered a rich country phenomenon because of its origins in high national incomes and better personal health, the ‘graying’ trend has now reached developing and middle-income countries, according to new research by the World Bank. These countries are catching up, but largely without the economic means to cope with the social and economic challenges posed by such a profound demographic shift.
“Population aging is a global issue that is affecting, or will soon affect, virtually every country around the world, at a time when family support and other traditional safety nets have become less certain,” says Daniel Cotlear, co-author of a recent Bank report “Some Consequences of Global Aging,” and a lead economist in the World Bank’s Human Development Network.
view the report-Some Economic Consequences Of Global Aging
Source: World Bank
Ground-breaking research shows that large private equity firms underperform small firms
January 17, 2011--Newly-released research by Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes of EDHEC Business School with co-authors Ludovic Phalippou and Oliver Gottschalg, entitled “Giants at the Gate: On the Cross-Section of Private Equity Investment Returns,” examines the determinants of private equity (PE) returns using a newly constructed database of 7,500 investments worldwide over forty years. The dataset is, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, the largest panel of worldwide PE (buyout) investment performance.
Among the many key and previously undocumented findings of the study:
The scale of private equity firms is a significant and consistent driver of returns. Diseconomies of scale are linked to firm structure: independent firms, less hierarchical firms, and those with managers of similar professional backgrounds exhibit smaller diseconomies of scale. More globally, small investments outperform large ones.
Source: EDHEC-Risk Institute
Credit Suisse introduces the Emerging Consumer Survey
January 17, 2011--Credit Suisse today announced the release of the inaugural Emerging Consumer Survey – a detailed study exploring the spending profile of consumers within Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) markets plus Egypt, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia. Taken together, these consumers represent over 3 billion of the world’s population, residing in countries that make up a combined GDP of over USD 10 trillion.
The survey produced by the Credit Suisse Research Institute seeks to establish a unique profile of the spending patterns and preferences of consumers who are at the heart of a structural shift in global demand.
To undertake this project, Credit Suisse engaged the leading global market research firm AC Nielsen to conduct primary research on its behalf. 120 questions, over a range of 11 different subjects, were included in the survey and put to some 13,000 respondents of varying location, gender and income levels.
Fawzi Kyriakos-Saad, CEO of Europe, Middle East and Africa at Credit Suisse, said: “Credit Suisse’s overall commitment to emerging markets was a key driver of conducting this study. We are committed to developing thought leadership to provide our developed and emerging markets clients with insights on future trends and their implications for the global economy and financial markets.”
read the Emerging Consumer Survey
Source: Credit Suisse
NYSE Euronext Leads ETP Listing Globally In 2010
NYSE Arca U.S. listed a record 220 New ETPs in 2010 – new high compared to 2009
A total of 112 new ETPs launched on NYSE Euronext European Markets
January 14, 2011--NYSE Euronext (NYX) today announced that NYSE Arca, its fully electronic U.S. market, and its combined European markets in Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels and Lisbon continued to show strong growth in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) listings in 2010.
In the U.S., NYSE Arca listed 220 new ETPs, which included 144 ETFs, 9 ETVs, 43 ETNs and 24 certificates. That brought the total number of ETPs on NYSE Arca to 1,124 ETPs comprised of 837 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), 57 Exchange Traded Vehicles (ETVs), 132 Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) and 98 certificates. New issuers of ETPs in 2010 included: Pax World Management, RBS, Sprott Asset Management, Teucrium, U.S. One and Velocity Shares. The total combined assets of NYSE Arca-listed ETPs reached $980 billion (as of Dec. 31, 2010), an increase of approximately 27% over 2009.
During 2010, NYSE Euronext’s European ETP segment listed 112 new ETPs, an increase of 9% over 2009. Two new issuers joined NYSE Euronext’s European market in 2010 with ETFs based on NYX indices: Comstage ETF listed five ETFs based on CAC 40, CAC 40 Short, CAC 40 Leverage, PSI 20 and PSI 20 Leverage, while ESAF ETF listed one ETF based on the NYSE Euronext Iberian Index. ETP issues are eligible to be listed across all NYSE Euronext’s European markets. At the end of 2010, NYSE Euronext ETP segment consisted of 491 ETFs from 16 issuers covering 329 indices, 43 ETVs, 5 ETNs and 18,661 warrants and certificates. The total combined assets of all ETPs listed on NYSE Euronext’s European markets reached €147.6 billion (as of Dec. 31, 2010), an increase of 26.7% over 2009.
Source: NYSE Euronext
