Global ETF News Older than One Year
Is $70 oil the new normal?
January 28, 2018--Surge in oil reflects the strength of the world economy
The global economy is poised to cope well even if oil prices will remain at around $70 per barrel throughout 2018, energy experts said.
Oil hit $71 a barrel on Thursday for the first time since 2014, supported by Opec-led supply curbs. It eased to $70.52 on Friday. view more
Source: Zawya.com
DECPG Global Weekly
January 26, 2018--TAKING STOCK
U.S. GDP growth slowed in Q4; PCE price inflation accelerated
Euro Area composite PMI rose in January; ECB kept interest rates unchanged
Japan flash manufacturing PMI rose in January; central bank kept interest rates on hold.
China's industrial profit growth rose to a 6-year high in 2017
Bank of Ghana and Central Bank of Kenya left their monetary policy stance unchanged in January
U.S. GDP growth slowed in Q4; PCE price inflation accelerated. The first reading of U.S. GDP growth in Q4 came in at 2.6 percent (q/q, saar), less than expected, after reaching 3.2 percent in Q3 and 3.1 percent in Q2. GDP growth in Q4 reflected solid increases in consumer and business investment spending that were partly offset by a decline in net exports, as imports surged. For 2017 as a whole, the U.S. economy grew 2.3 percent (y/y), up from 1.5 percent in 2016.
Source: World Bank
Winthrop Capital Management 2018 Economic & Capital Market Outlook
January 26, 2018--We are at an interesting point in the economic and capital market adventure that has been transpiring for almost ten years. We hesitate to use the word "cycle" because that implies that economic activity, measured by our country's outputs and capital markets, will actually turn down.
It is really more of an economic experiment-one in which the central banks of major developed countries have simultaneously poured money into the global capital markets in an attempt to accelerate economic growth after the desolation of the Financial Crisis in 2008.
We are at the point where the domestic economy is showing real signs of growth in the aggregate. In fact, we are in the midst of a global economic upswing as Japan, Europe and other parts of the world experience rising economic output and asset prices. The S&P 500 increased a solid 22% last year including dividends.
Source: Winthrop Capital Management
IMF Working paper-Lending Standards and Output Growth
January 26, 2018--While some credit booms are followed by economic underperformance, many are not. Can lending standards help separate good credit booms from bad credit booms contemporaneously?
To observe lending standards internationally, I use information from primary debt capital markets.
I construct the high-yield (HY) share of bond issuance for a panel of 38 countries. The HY share is procyclical, suggesting that lending standards in bond markets are extrapolative. Credit booms with deteriorating lending standards (rising HY share) are followed by lower GDP growth in the subsequent three to four years. Such booms deserve attention from policy makers.
Source: IMF
ETFGI reports that assets invested in Smart Beta ETFs and ETPs listed globally increased by 32.3 percent during 2017 to reach 658 billion US dollars
January 26, 2018--ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm on trends in the global ETF/ETP ecosystem, reported today that assets invested in Smart Beta ETFs and ETPs listed globally increased by 32.3% during 2017 to reach a new high of US$658.35 Bn at the end of December. (All dollar values in USD unless otherwise noted.)
Highlights
Assets invested in Smart Beta ETFs/ETPs listed globally increased by a record $ 160.61 billion during the year, to reach a new high of $658.35 billion
Year-to-date, through end of December 2017, Smart Beta ETFs and ETPs listed globally saw net inflows of $71.75 Bn.
Assets in market cap ETFs increased by 40.3% in 2017 which is significantly more than the 32.3% increase in Smart Beta assets.
Source: ETFGI
World Gold Council-Cryptocurrencies are no substitute for gold
January 25, 2018--Bitcoin's parabolic price rise was the big story of 2017-putting the spotlight on the cryptocurrency market. While gold's performance was a solid 13%, it was a fraction of the 13-fold increase of bitcoin by the end of the year.
Some commentators went as far as to claim cryptocurrencies could replace gold. Cryptocurrencies may become an established part of the financial system. But, in our view, gold is very different from cryptocurrencies, as gold:
is less volatile
has a more liquid market
trades in an established regulatory framework
has a well understood role in an investment portfolio
has little overlap with cryptocurrencies on many sources of demand and supply
Source: World Gold Council (WGC)
Switzerland overtakes Hong Kong to claim top spot in freedom index, United States rises to 17th
January 25, 2018--Switzerland is the freest country in the world, having replaced Hong Kong atop the Human Freedom Index, released today by the Fraser Institute and a network of international public policy think-tanks.
The United States inched upwards six spots from 24th to 17th in the index, which uses 79 indicators of personal, civil and economic freedoms to rank 159 countries and jurisdictions worldwide.
view the The Human Freedom Index 2017
Source: The Fraser Institute
ETF Securities Commodity Monthly Monitor-US dollar gives transitory boost to commodities Jan/Feb 2018
January 25, 2018--Summary:
Commodities have enjoyed a great start to 2018. From the low point mid-December they have rallied 6.7%. The performance has been broad-based too-driven not only by the Iran issues inflating the oil price-but a rally in industrial/precious metals and agriculture.
Broad global economic growth has supported commodity prices- although we are wary of some who are interpreting this as being a positive sign broadly for commodities this year. Commodities as an asset class are a very heterogeneous group and we expect varied performance from each segment this year in particular.
Source: etfsecurities.com
ETF Securities Investment Insights Commodity Optimism Rises with Reflation
January 24, 2018--Summary
Global manufacturing may push commodity demand higher.
Investors yet to regain previous positions in commodity funds.
Commodities tend to outperform in high growth and inflation periods.
Growth and manufacturing activity points to higher commodity demand
The global economy is in full throttle with synchronized growth
among both developed and emerging economies. Global gross
domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise to 3.9% this year
according to the International Monetary Fund. Further signs of
economic reflation stem from the expansionary levels in global
manufacturing and industrial activity. Recent global manufacturing
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) levels are at a four year high
while US manufacturing PMI ending 2017 at 59.7 after hitting a 13
year high in September 2017.
Source: etfsecurities.com
BIS-New report assesses structural change in global banking
January 24, 2018--Bank profitability has fallen from pre-crisis peaks but banks have become more resilient to risks, finds a new report by the Committee on the Global Financial System (CGFS).
Over the past decade, banks' balance sheets, cost base, scope of activities and geographic presence have been shaped by the impact of the crisis, as well as the resulting changes in regulation, competition and the macroeconomic landscape.
The report, Structural changes in banking after the crisis, outlines common trends but also differences across 21 countries.
view the BIS report-Structural changes in banking after the crisis
Source: BIS
